Strength
Strength
|
59 16 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
701 -272 Strength Momentum |
915 41.2(56) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | Socorro | 0.000 | 1047 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-3) | 560 | 16% | |
| 08/21/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.002 | 918 | T 2- 2 | Better (+2) | 819 | 23% | |
| 08/22/15 | Hatch | 0.002 | 987 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 784 | 20% | |
| 08/22/15 | Silver | 0.002 | 799 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 791 | 39% | |
| 08/25/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.003 | 918 | W 2- 0 | Better (+4) | 919 | 23% | |
| 08/31/15 | at Socorro | 0.005 | 1047 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-2) | 579 | 13% | |
| 09/05/15 | Santa Fe Prep ! | 0.023 | 985 | W 4- 3 | Better (+4) | 884 | 20% | |
| 09/10/15 | Gallup | 0.021 | 570 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+5) | 930 | 70% | |
| 09/15/15 | Robertson !! | 0.076 | 993 | W 4- 1 | Better (+6) | 988 | 20% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Hatch | 0.108 | 987 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 753 | 17% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.240 | 915 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 768 | 23% | |
| 09/29/15 | Hatch | 0.282 | 987 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 684 | 20% | |
| 10/03/15 | NMMI | 0.242 | 890 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-3) | 534 | 28% | |
| 10/06/15 | Bernalillo | 0.523 | 898 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 690 | 28% | |
| 10/09/15 | at Portales ?? | 0.586 | 819 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 619 | 32% | |
| 10/13/15 | Bloomfield | 0.818 | 647 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 714 | 61% | |
| 10/15/15 | at NMMI ? | 0.389 | 890 | L 2- 8 | Expected (-4) | 501 | 25% | |
| 10/19/15 | Ruidoso | 0.724 | 915 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-1) | 648 | 26% | |
| 10/22/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.983 | 694 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 738 | 54% | |
| 10/24/15 | Portales | 0.997 | 819 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 750 | 36% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals East Mountain actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 915, while
East Mountain's "weighted playing strength" is 690
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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